November 2008

Orencia Profile Offers Glimpse at Challenges and Opportunities for New Rheumatoid Arthritis Therapies Entering Market in 2009

Summary: Research tracking Orencia’s perceived strengths and weaknesses offers new market entrants clues for what it takes to compete with well-established TNF therapies
 

As a cluster of new biologic therapies, including Cimzia, Actemra and Golimumab, prepare to enter the rheumatoid arthritis market in 2009, an analysis of recent market entrant Orencia’s successes and shortcomings indicates that new products must be prepared to prove efficacy while battling persistent concerns over biologics’ long-term safety and infection risk, according to new research by GfK Market Measures. 

Orencia, a biologic representing a unique mechanism of action, entered the rheumatoid arthritis market in February 2006.  Given its almost three-year track record and successful breakthrough as an important alternative therapy in cases of treatment failure with first- and second-line biologics, Orencia appears to be in the best position to compete most directly in 2009 with the market mainstays – Enbrel, Humira and Remicade – also knows as the TNF biologics.  Another close competitor is the other non-TNF, Rituxan, which has enjoyed similar success.

One formidable challenge for Orencia and all new market entrants in 2009 will be to break through the TNF cycling that occurs among these three well-established therapies and steal market share in the form of more second-line therapy switches.  The strength of this cycling trend is evidenced by GfK’s research over the past three years in this market, where rheumatologists consistently report approximately 80 percent of patients currently on a TNF biologic are switched to another TNF biologic following first-line therapy failure.

Despite the fact physicians’ perceptions of Orencia have improved since 2006 for areas including long-term safety, tolerability and low risk of infection, key hurdles for the drug’s further penetration remain.  For example, efficacy ratings for Orencia remain unchanged since 2006.  A look at Orencia’s perceived strengths and weaknesses, in comparison with the TNF biologics, may serve as an indicator of opportunities and challenges for future market entrants. 

On the down side, overall, Orencia seems to have less positive perception among rheumatologists for efficacy measures – a trend that has been consistent for three years.  On a seven-point scale, the TNF biologics are rated highest by rheumatologists for “inhibits disease progress,” with average ratings among the three therapies of 5.80, while Orencia receives an average rating of 5.12.  However, it should be noted that as third- and fourth-line biologics, Orencia and Rituxan face a significant challenge to produce consistently positive efficacy experiences, given the more severe patients trialed on these products.  One might believe Orencia’s poor ratings are the result of treating the more severe patient, yet efficacy ratings as measured by the attribute “inhibits disease progression” are actually lower than Rituxan (5.25), implying that, at least among rheumatologists, Orencia faces true efficacy shortcomings.  

On the positive side, Orencia is associated with two important underlying drivers of physician and patient satisfaction: “low risk of infection” and “fewer side effects/well tolerated.”  On a seven-point scale rating for “low risk of infection,” Orencia was rated slightly higher than Enbrel – the lead biologic in the market (4.59 compared with 4.50) – and higher than Humira (4.38) or Remicade (3.97).  It is important to note here that Remicade, which as a competing infusion-administrated TNF biologic is the brand Orencia would naturally look to displace, was rated lowest among the biologics on this attribute.  In addition, since 2006 physicians have reported steady satisfaction rating gains for Orencia on the attribute “fewer side effects/well tolerated.”  In fact, Orencia (5.34) is now on par with Humira (5.42) on this important attribute and, once again, ahead of Remicade (4.70).

“Orencia’s unique mechanism of action makes it an important alternative therapy in cases of TNF biologic treatment failure, yet our data show that physicians’ perceptions of Orencia are less positive regarding efficacy,” said Geoff Penney, Vice President and Category Business Leader, Neurology, GfK Market Measures.  “At the same time, our data show that physicians and patients remain wary of the biologics in terms of long-term safety and related attributes such as low risk of infection and tolerability—and it is here that Orencia is better positioned than most of the TNF biologics.  Taken as a whole, Orencia is perceived by physicians as a solid alternative therapy for patients who face greater infection risk.”

Reflecting insights from 259 physicians, including rheumatologists, internists and general/family practitioners fielded via Internet questionnaire during April 2008, GfK Market Measures’ 2008 Treatment of Rheumatoid Arthritis Study provides a comprehensive analysis of the RA market from the perspective of treating physicians.

Contact: Geoff Penney, VP, Category Business Leader, Neurology
gpenney@gfkmm.com


 
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Osteoporosis Drugs That Differentiate Based on Concomitant Indications and Less Frequent Dosing See Most Market Gains

Summary: Research reveals Evista’s breast cancer indication and Reclast’s yearly dosing are factors boosting their high prescription rates, signaling opportunities for future osteoporosis market entrants
  A look at the key drivers of prescribing among physicians treating patients with osteoporosis reveals that drugs such as Evista, with its concomitant indication for post-menopausal women at risk for breast cancer, and just-launched yearly Reclast, which boasts the convenience of less-frequent dosing, are the brands expected to lead the market, according to new research by GfK Market Measures.

With the launch of Fosamax in 1995, bisphosphonates reshaped the osteoporosis market, which was once dominated by calcium supplements and estrogen replacement/hormone replacement therapy. Since then, more convenient, less-frequent dosing options, such as monthly Boniva and Actonel, as well as just-launched yearly Reclast, have helped this class of drugs become the standard of care in osteoporosis treatment. Another standout osteoporosis prevention and treatment option is the serotonin estrogen receptor modulator Evista, which experienced a boost in the market following its concomitant indication approval in July 2007 for post-menopausal women at risk for breast cancer. The market experienced other noteworthy shifts this year resulting from Fosamax’s loss of patent exclusivity in February and the subsequent introduction of generic alendronate.

An emerging opportunity in the osteoporosis market is the prevention of breast cancer, as witnessed by Evista’s market penetration. GfK’s research shows that across all specialties, 90 percent of physicians currently prescribe Evista and 20 percent expect to increase prescribing, with prevention of breast cancer cited as the main reason for its anticipated boost. More convenient, less-frequent dosing is another trend in the market. This attribute is clearly preferred by physicians, because of its positive impact on patient compliance, and thus is another differentiator that helps boost prescribing. In this vein, Reclast is certainly benefiting from its dosing advantage, with 54 percent of physicians already prescribing it and with more than 30 percent also reporting their intention to increase prescribing.

“Despite the fact that Evista and Reclast are seeing gains based on their differentiated profiles, there are challenges that remain for each,” said Sue Ramspacher, Senior Vice President and Category Business Leader, Female Health, GfK Market Measures. “For example, Evista’s lack of data on preventing nonvertebral fractures may be a limiting factor, particularly if investigational agents such as Wyeth’s Viviant and Amgen’s Denosumab can exhibit strengths on this important attribute.”

“And while two-thirds of patients taking Reclast are prescribed the drug as a replacement for another bisphosphonate, most often alendronate [generic Fosamax, currently prescribed by 97 percent of physicians], the challenge for Reclast will be to maintain its market share in the face of the far more favorable cost profile of alendronate,” said Ms. Ramspacher. “Here, our research shows that almost 20 percent of physicians report they will increase prescribing of alendronate, with cost benefits cited as the main reason.”

Reflecting insights from 356 physicians, including OB/GYNs, rheumatologists, endocrinologists, general/family practitioners and internists fielded via Internet questionnaire in September 2008, GfK Market Measures’ 2008 Osteoporosis Physician Study provides an in-depth understanding of the osteoporosis market form the perspective of treating physicians.

Contact: Sue Ramspacher, SVP, Category Business Leader,
Female Health
sramspacher@gfkmm.com



 
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