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GfK Healthcare September 2010  
 
 
 
Good Practices in Forecasting and Good Forecasting in Practice - Part II
 

 
 
 

By Rudiger Papsch, Managing Director, GfK HealthCare Asia

The ability to make accurate forecasts is important for any organization, and this applies in particular to health care companies. Reliable forecasts allow market opportunities to be identified and optimally used, whereas poor forecasts can result in substantial financial losses through lost opportunities or misallocation of scarce resources. 

However, forecasting is a complex and challenging task and it is therefore not surprising that forecasts can be and often are erroneous. At the same time much progress has been made over the past decades in research on forecasting, directly tackling these challenges. 

 
   
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Different
 

 
 
 

For us as pharmaceutical marketers and marketing researchers, the concept of “different” has meaning on a number of levels. We are in a different environment, studying a different set of stakeholders playing under a new set of rules. Additionally, a major part of our job description is typically to make our product appear “different” enough from competitive offerings that it should enjoy customer use.

This month’s published document for The Orange Pages discusses Different, a book by Youngme Moon, professor of marketing at Harvard Business School, that will challenge you to view this concept in an entirely new way. 

 
   
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Did You Miss the August Issue of Pipeline?
 

 
 
 

Click here to read the issue, which includes:

  • Good Practices in Forecasting and Good Forecasting in Practice – Part One
  • Hamlet's Blackberry
  • Vanderveer's Views: In Memoriam

Pipeline archive is available. Skim the directory and select articles you missed. Access subscriber opt-in/comment form.

 
 
 
 
 
   
 
 

Investing in the Future of Health Care

That the traditional pharmaceutical industry is facing major challenges in the years to come is hardly startling news. Yet many companies, their associates and the agencies that service them go about their day-to-day business as if nothing has changed. 

Thus I was fascinated by a call for presentation proposals that I received from EphMRA for its 2011 conference in Basel, Switzerland. Given the global focus of this organization, it is important to note that while much talk in such circles in recent years has focused on emerging nations, this call for papers reminded us that the U.S. marketplace is still a large component of the worldwide pharmaceutical industry, and that the challenges our country is facing cannot be ignored by those making investment decisions in health care.

Against the backdrop of the general theme, “Stepping It Up,” one section of the conference will focus on a vision of a new marketplace in the United States.

In this marketplace, according to the author of the call for papers, “The economic interests of large, corporatized group practices will drive selection and use of pharmaceutical therapies.

“Conventional representatives will become increasingly obsolete. Pharma’s sales personnel will become ‘account teams’ using an entirely different marketing approach...

 
   
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